Real estate contracts are way down, refinances are being challenged by appraisals that come in too low to meet the needed LTV ratios, and too many homeowners are frozen in their current mortgage. This is the new normal.
I just read an article in the Orlando Sentinel in which the Florida Office of Financial Regulation is concerned that many mortgage brokers will not be licensed on January 1st since only about ¼ of them have transitioned to the Nationwide Mortgage Licensing System (NMLS). Florida’s deadline for transition is December 31st.
I have not taken a formal survey but my experience has shown me that in every state that has transitioned to the NMLS, over half of the existing licensees did not make the transition. In some states, it was close to ¾ of the mortgage brokers who lost or surrendered their licenses.
In the current climate of mortgage brokering, a huge group of loan officers are leaving this line of business. There are many reasons. Some of them feel they cannot make the kind of living they used to (during the real estate bubble) so they look for a more lucrative occupation. Others do not want to jump through the many hoops that the new SAFE law requires. Others cannot meet the require4ments of the SAFE Act, either because of a prior felony conviction that did not previously affect their licensing, or because they have a bankruptcy on their credit record, or because their credit score is too low.
I don’t think this new real estate climate can support more loan officers. There is not a lot of business to go around. I met a loan originator who started in this line of work in 2008 and this is the only real estate market he’s ever known. He has heard the stories from other loan officers who talk of phones ringing off the hook, how much easier it was to work with the old Good Faith Estimate, and how quickly loans closed. But all that is gone. It isn’t coming back for years, if ever. Have you learned how to make a living in the new normal? If you haven’t, you’d better re-think your career plans. When the country climbs out of this recession, real estate sales will increase because there are thousands, maybe millions of people who need to move for their jobs. But the flippers, the speculators, the people whose foreclosures will prevent them from buying for a few years – they will all be out of the market until the next normal comes into play. For now, you need to figure out how to grow your business in ways that you didn’t need to bother with 5 years ago. Do you have any ideas for how to grow your business in the new normal?
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